WDW Daily Recap: Friday, April 3
Solid day overall. Most parks tracked well, with one outlier pulling the average. Here's how our WTI predictions compared to what actually happened at Walt Disney World on Friday, April 3.
Park-by-Park: Predicted vs. Observed WTI
| Park | Predicted | Observed | Delta | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Kingdom | 23.3 | 18.5 | -4.8 | Close |
| EPCOT | 26.2 | 22.9 | -3.3 | Close |
| Hollywood Studios | 32.4 | 32.2 | -0.2 | Nailed it |
| Animal Kingdom | 40.9 | 36.5 | -4.4 | Close |
Overall MAE: 3.2 — the average absolute error across all four parks.
Spotlight: Magic Kingdom
Magic Kingdom was the biggest miss of the day. We predicted a WTI of 23.3, but the observed value came in at 18.5 — 4.8 points lighter than expected.
The error was distributed across multiple attractions, with no single ride dominating the miss.
Attraction-Level Breakdown
| Attraction | Predicted | Actual | Error | MAE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pan's Flight | 53 | 29 | -24.2 | 24.3 |
| 7 Dwarfs Train | 62 | 41 | -21.3 | 22.1 |
| TRON | 36 | 58 | +21.3 | 21.4 |
| Ench Tales w/ Belle | 33 | 14 | -18.5 | 18.5 |
| Space Mountain | 51 | 32 | -18.2 | 18.3 |
| Town Sq Mickey | 32 | 14 | -17.6 | 17.6 |
| Ariel's Grotto | 30 | 19 | -10.9 | 11.2 |
| Dumbo | 24 | 14 | -9.3 | 9.8 |
Detected Closures / Downtime at Magic Kingdom
These rides had gaps of 60+ minutes in posted wait times during operating hours, suggesting temporary closures or extended downtime:
- Space Mountain — no data from 2:12 PM to 4:12 PM (120 min gap)
- Haunted Mansion — no data from 3:22 PM to 4:46 PM (84 min gap)
- Regal Carrousel — no data from 9:21 PM to 10:33 PM (72 min gap)
Get daily WTI forecasts for all 12 parks. Just type /today or /crowd in the Discord — free during beta.
📡 Data Sources — Our models are trained on data from TouringPlans, Queue-Times, and Thrill-Data. The models, techniques, and predictions are entirely our own.