WDW Daily Recap: Monday, April 6
Excellent day for the model — predictions were tight across all four parks. Here's how our WTI predictions compared to what actually happened at Walt Disney World on Monday, April 6.
Park-by-Park: Predicted vs. Observed WTI
| Park | Predicted | Observed | Delta | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Kingdom | 22.7 | 18.4 | -4.3 | Close |
| EPCOT | 24.6 | 26.4 | +1.8 | Nailed it |
| Hollywood Studios | 31.2 | 29.3 | -1.9 | Nailed it |
| Animal Kingdom | 41.9 | 40.1 | -1.8 | Nailed it |
Overall MAE: 2.5 — the average absolute error across all four parks.
Spotlight: Magic Kingdom
Magic Kingdom was the biggest miss of the day. We predicted a WTI of 22.7, but the observed value came in at 18.4 — 4.3 points lighter than expected.
The error was distributed across multiple attractions, with no single ride dominating the miss.
Attraction-Level Breakdown
| Attraction | Predicted | Actual | Error | MAE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pan's Flight | 53 | 30 | -22.8 | 23.1 |
| 7 Dwarfs Train | 60 | 37 | -23.1 | 23.1 |
| Space Mountain | 50 | 30 | -20.2 | 21.3 |
| Town Sq Mickey | 32 | 15 | -16.9 | 16.9 |
| TRON | 37 | 52 | +15.3 | 15.4 |
| Ench Tales w/ Belle | 30 | 19 | -11.8 | 11.9 |
| Dumbo | 24 | 15 | -9.2 | 11.1 |
| Pirates of Caribbean | 27 | 18 | -9.1 | 9.2 |
Get daily WTI forecasts for all 12 parks. Just type /today or /crowd in the Discord — free during beta.
📡 Data Sources — Our models are trained on data from TouringPlans, Queue-Times, and Thrill-Data. The models, techniques, and predictions are entirely our own.