WDW Daily Recap: Thursday, April 9
Solid day overall. Most parks tracked well, with one outlier pulling the average. Here's how our WTI predictions compared to what actually happened at Walt Disney World on Thursday, April 9.
Park-by-Park: Predicted vs. Observed WTI
| Park | Predicted | Observed | Delta | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Kingdom | 17.6 | 20.8 | +3.2 | Close |
| EPCOT | 20.5 | 27.3 | +6.8 | Missed |
| Hollywood Studios | 26.7 | 31.4 | +4.7 | Close |
| Animal Kingdom | 32.8 | 34.2 | +1.4 | Nailed it |
Overall MAE: 4.0 — the average absolute error across all four parks.
Spotlight: EPCOT
EPCOT was the biggest miss of the day. We predicted a WTI of 20.5, but the observed value came in at 27.3 — 6.8 points busier than expected.
The error was distributed across multiple attractions, with no single ride dominating the miss.
Attraction-Level Breakdown
| Attraction | Predicted | Actual | Error | MAE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remy's Adventure | 57 | 44 | -13.5 | 13.7 |
| Anna & Elsa Greeting | 23 | 34 | +11.3 | 11.3 |
| Guardians: Cosmic Rewind | 44 | 53 | +8.6 | 10.6 |
| Soarin' | 28 | 37 | +9.5 | 10.1 |
| Test Track | 40 | 48 | +8.3 | 9.8 |
| Spaceship Earth | 11 | 17 | +5.5 | 6.7 |
| Frozen Ever After | 45 | 46 | +1.3 | 6.7 |
| Seas with Nemo | 8 | 14 | +6.0 | 6.6 |
Detected Closures / Downtime at EPCOT
These rides had gaps of 60+ minutes in posted wait times during operating hours, suggesting temporary closures or extended downtime:
- Frozen Ever After — no data from 2:36 PM to 3:43 PM (67 min gap)
Get daily WTI forecasts for all 12 parks. Just type /today or /crowd in the Discord — free during beta.
📡 Data Sources — Our models are trained on data from TouringPlans, Queue-Times, and Thrill-Data. The models, techniques, and predictions are entirely our own.