WDW Daily Recap: Friday, April 10
Excellent day for the model — predictions were tight across all four parks. Here's how our WTI predictions compared to what actually happened at Walt Disney World on Friday, April 10.
Park-by-Park: Predicted vs. Observed WTI
| Park | Predicted | Observed | Delta | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Kingdom | 19.1 | 21.9 | +2.8 | Close |
| EPCOT | 23.2 | 22.3 | -0.9 | Nailed it |
| Hollywood Studios | 27.5 | 24.7 | -2.8 | Close |
| Animal Kingdom | 33.7 | 33.3 | -0.4 | Nailed it |
Overall MAE: 1.7 — the average absolute error across all four parks.
Spotlight: Magic Kingdom
Magic Kingdom was the biggest miss of the day. We predicted a WTI of 19.1, but the observed value came in at 21.9 — 2.8 points busier than expected.
The error was distributed across multiple attractions, with no single ride dominating the miss.
Attraction-Level Breakdown
| Attraction | Predicted | Actual | Error | MAE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRON | 34 | 67 | +32.3 | 32.7 |
| Tiana's Adventure | 27 | 35 | +8.1 | 13.9 |
| Peter Pan's Flight | 42 | 30 | -12.1 | 12.9 |
| Town Sq Mickey | 28 | 17 | -11.7 | 11.7 |
| 7 Dwarfs Train | 52 | 43 | -8.8 | 10.9 |
| Jungle Cruise | 28 | 37 | +8.5 | 9.4 |
| Buzz Lightyear | 21 | 29 | +7.9 | 8.8 |
| Mad Tea Party | 8 | 16 | +8.3 | 8.3 |
Detected Closures / Downtime at Magic Kingdom
These rides had gaps of 60+ minutes in posted wait times during operating hours, suggesting temporary closures or extended downtime:
- Tiana's Adventure — no data from 2:57 PM to 5:34 PM (157 min gap)
- Tiana's Adventure — no data from 9:54 AM to 11:38 AM (104 min gap)
Get daily WTI forecasts for all 12 parks. Just type /today or /crowd in the Discord — free during beta.
📡 Data Sources — Our models are trained on data from TouringPlans, Queue-Times, and Thrill-Data. The models, techniques, and predictions are entirely our own.