WDW Daily Recap: Monday, April 20
Solid day overall. Most parks tracked well, with one outlier pulling the average. Here's how our WTI predictions compared to what actually happened at Walt Disney World on Monday, April 20.
Park-by-Park: Predicted vs. Observed WTI
| Park | Predicted | Observed | Delta | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Kingdom | 17.3 | 15.3 | -2.0 | Nailed it |
| EPCOT | 20.9 | 20.9 | +0.0 | Nailed it |
| Hollywood Studios | 26.4 | 24.9 | -1.5 | Nailed it |
| Animal Kingdom | 34.2 | 25.0 | -9.2 | Missed |
Overall MAE: 3.2 — the average absolute error across all four parks.
Spotlight: Animal Kingdom
Animal Kingdom was the biggest miss of the day. We predicted a WTI of 34.2, but the observed value came in at 25.0 — 9.2 points lighter than expected.
The error was distributed across multiple attractions, with no single ride dominating the miss.
Attraction-Level Breakdown
| Attraction | Predicted | Actual | Error | MAE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Na'vi River | 55 | 28 | -26.7 | 26.7 |
| Festival Lion King | 3 | 24 | +21.0 | 21.0 |
| Flight of Passage | 55 | 44 | -11.6 | 15.5 |
| Kali River Rapids | 28 | 16 | -11.8 | 12.5 |
| Kilimanjaro Safaris | 31 | 28 | -3.2 | 12.3 |
| Adventurers Outpost | 17 | 22 | +5.1 | 5.8 |
| Expedition Everest | 21 | 17 | -3.8 | 5.5 |
| Zootopia | 12 | 12 | -0.2 | 2.1 |
Detected Closures / Downtime at Animal Kingdom
These rides had gaps of 60+ minutes in posted wait times during operating hours, suggesting temporary closures or extended downtime:
- Character Landing — no data from 12:10 PM to 1:45 PM (95 min gap)
Get daily WTI forecasts for all 12 parks. Just type /today or /crowd in the Discord — free during beta.
📡 Data Sources — Our models are trained on data from TouringPlans, Queue-Times, and Thrill-Data. The models, techniques, and predictions are entirely our own.