WDW Daily Recap: Friday, April 24
Excellent day for the model — predictions were tight across all four parks. Here's how our WTI predictions compared to what actually happened at Walt Disney World on Friday, April 24.
Park-by-Park: Predicted vs. Observed WTI
| Park | Predicted | Observed | Delta | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Kingdom | 17.8 | 17.0 | -0.8 | Nailed it |
| EPCOT | 21.8 | 19.8 | -2.0 | Nailed it |
| Hollywood Studios | 27.2 | 25.0 | -2.2 | Close |
| Animal Kingdom | 34.3 | 29.9 | -4.4 | Close |
Overall MAE: 2.4 — the average absolute error across all four parks.
Spotlight: Animal Kingdom
Animal Kingdom was the biggest miss of the day. We predicted a WTI of 34.3, but the observed value came in at 29.9 — 4.4 points lighter than expected.
The error was top-heavy — three attractions drove most of the miss: Na'vi River (MAE 24.7), Flight of Passage (MAE 12.3), Kilimanjaro Safaris (MAE 8.9).
Attraction-Level Breakdown
| Attraction | Predicted | Actual | Error | MAE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Na'vi River | 56 | 31 | -24.7 | 24.7 |
| Flight of Passage | 55 | 60 | +4.9 | 12.3 |
| Kilimanjaro Safaris | 28 | 23 | -5.6 | 8.9 |
| Kali River Rapids | 28 | 31 | +2.7 | 7.5 |
| Expedition Everest | 24 | 21 | -2.6 | 4.9 |
| Adventurers Outpost | 17 | 20 | +3.1 | 4.5 |
| Zootopia | 12 | 11 | -1.2 | 2.3 |
| Gorilla Falls Trail | 5 | 6 | +0.8 | 0.8 |
Detected Closures / Downtime at Animal Kingdom
These rides had gaps of 60+ minutes in posted wait times during operating hours, suggesting temporary closures or extended downtime:
- Character Landing — no data from 12:15 PM to 1:50 PM (95 min gap)
Get daily WTI forecasts for all 12 parks. Just type /today or /crowd in the Discord — free during beta.
📡 Data Sources — Our models are trained on data from TouringPlans, Queue-Times, and Thrill-Data. The models, techniques, and predictions are entirely our own.