WDW Daily Recap: Saturday, April 25
Excellent day for the model — predictions were tight across all four parks. Here's how our WTI predictions compared to what actually happened at Walt Disney World on Saturday, April 25.
Park-by-Park: Predicted vs. Observed WTI
| Park | Predicted | Observed | Delta | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Kingdom | 18.4 | 16.0 | -2.4 | Close |
| EPCOT | 22.7 | 21.8 | -0.9 | Nailed it |
| Hollywood Studios | 27.3 | 27.1 | -0.2 | Nailed it |
| Animal Kingdom | 35.4 | 31.9 | -3.5 | Close |
Overall MAE: 1.8 — the average absolute error across all four parks.
Spotlight: Animal Kingdom
Animal Kingdom was the biggest miss of the day. We predicted a WTI of 35.4, but the observed value came in at 31.9 — 3.5 points lighter than expected.
The error was top-heavy — three attractions drove most of the miss: Na'vi River (MAE 22.6), Kali River Rapids (MAE 9.4), Kilimanjaro Safaris (MAE 8.8).
Attraction-Level Breakdown
| Attraction | Predicted | Actual | Error | MAE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Na'vi River | 57 | 35 | -22.6 | 22.6 |
| Kali River Rapids | 30 | 39 | +8.6 | 9.4 |
| Kilimanjaro Safaris | 29 | 27 | -1.9 | 8.8 |
| Adventurers Outpost | 19 | 27 | +7.4 | 7.7 |
| Flight of Passage | 55 | 57 | +2.0 | 7.1 |
| Expedition Everest | 26 | 23 | -2.9 | 4.4 |
| Zootopia | 12 | 12 | +0.1 | 2.8 |
| Gorilla Falls Trail | 5 | 6 | +1.3 | 1.3 |
Detected Closures / Downtime at Animal Kingdom
These rides had gaps of 60+ minutes in posted wait times during operating hours, suggesting temporary closures or extended downtime:
- Expedition Everest — no data from 3:44 PM to 6:05 PM (141 min gap)
- Character Landing — no data from 12:10 PM to 1:55 PM (105 min gap)
- Kali River Rapids — no data from 4:45 PM to 6:04 PM (79 min gap)
- Gorilla Falls Trail — no data from 5:00 PM to 6:16 PM (76 min gap)
Get daily WTI forecasts for all 12 parks. Just type /today or /crowd in the Discord — free during beta.
📡 Data Sources — Our models are trained on data from TouringPlans, Queue-Times, and Thrill-Data. The models, techniques, and predictions are entirely our own.