WDW Daily Recap: Sunday, April 26
Excellent day for the model — predictions were tight across all four parks. Here's how our WTI predictions compared to what actually happened at Walt Disney World on Sunday, April 26.
Park-by-Park: Predicted vs. Observed WTI
| Park | Predicted | Observed | Delta | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Kingdom | 18.0 | 15.1 | -2.9 | Close |
| EPCOT | 22.2 | 20.4 | -1.8 | Nailed it |
| Hollywood Studios | 26.9 | 22.5 | -4.4 | Close |
| Animal Kingdom | 34.5 | 32.0 | -2.5 | Close |
Overall MAE: 2.9 — the average absolute error across all four parks.
Spotlight: Hollywood Studios
Hollywood Studios was the biggest miss of the day. We predicted a WTI of 26.9, but the observed value came in at 22.5 — 4.4 points lighter than expected.
The error was distributed across multiple attractions, with no single ride dominating the miss.
Attraction-Level Breakdown
| Attraction | Predicted | Actual | Error | MAE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toy Story Mania! | 44 | 26 | -18.3 | 19.0 |
| Rise of Resistance | 33 | 42 | +9.2 | 13.4 |
| Millennium Falcon | 34 | 22 | -12.2 | 12.2 |
| Star Tours | 15 | 6 | -8.5 | 8.6 |
| Tower of Terror | 31 | 24 | -7.0 | 8.1 |
| Alien Saucers | 23 | 18 | -5.4 | 7.7 |
| Runaway Railway | 26 | 28 | +2.1 | 6.3 |
| Olaf Greeting | 14 | 12 | -2.7 | 5.9 |
Detected Closures / Downtime at Hollywood Studios
These rides had gaps of 60+ minutes in posted wait times during operating hours, suggesting temporary closures or extended downtime:
- Rise of the Resistance Single — no data from 11:00 AM to 12:35 PM (95 min gap)
- Rise of Resistance — no data from 11:00 AM to 12:27 PM (87 min gap)
Get daily WTI forecasts for all 12 parks. Just type /today or /crowd in the Discord — free during beta.
📡 Data Sources — Our models are trained on data from TouringPlans, Queue-Times, and Thrill-Data. The models, techniques, and predictions are entirely our own.