WDW Daily Recap: Monday, April 27
Excellent day for the model — predictions were tight across all four parks. Here's how our WTI predictions compared to what actually happened at Walt Disney World on Monday, April 27.
Park-by-Park: Predicted vs. Observed WTI
| Park | Predicted | Observed | Delta | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Kingdom | 18.0 | 15.1 | -2.9 | Close |
| EPCOT | 21.0 | 21.9 | +0.9 | Nailed it |
| Hollywood Studios | 26.1 | 21.9 | -4.2 | Close |
| Animal Kingdom | 33.3 | 32.3 | -1.0 | Nailed it |
Overall MAE: 2.2 — the average absolute error across all four parks.
Spotlight: Hollywood Studios
Hollywood Studios was the biggest miss of the day. We predicted a WTI of 26.1, but the observed value came in at 21.9 — 4.2 points lighter than expected.
The error was distributed across multiple attractions, with no single ride dominating the miss.
Attraction-Level Breakdown
| Attraction | Predicted | Actual | Error | MAE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toy Story Mania! | 45 | 24 | -20.6 | 20.6 |
| Millennium Falcon | 34 | 21 | -13.0 | 13.2 |
| Rise of Resistance | 32 | 35 | +2.8 | 11.8 |
| Star Tours | 14 | 5 | -8.8 | 8.8 |
| Tower of Terror | 30 | 26 | -4.1 | 7.6 |
| Alien Saucers | 23 | 17 | -6.6 | 7.3 |
| Runaway Railway | 30 | 28 | -1.4 | 7.2 |
| Slinky Dog | 45 | 40 | -5.8 | 6.7 |
Get daily WTI forecasts for all 12 parks. Just type /today or /crowd in the Discord — free during beta.
📡 Data Sources — Our models are trained on data from TouringPlans, Queue-Times, and Thrill-Data. The models, techniques, and predictions are entirely our own.