WDW Daily Recap: Tuesday, April 28
Excellent day for the model — predictions were tight across all four parks. Here's how our WTI predictions compared to what actually happened at Walt Disney World on Tuesday, April 28.
Park-by-Park: Predicted vs. Observed WTI
| Park | Predicted | Observed | Delta | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Kingdom | 18.7 | 16.6 | -2.1 | Close |
| EPCOT | 21.3 | 20.0 | -1.3 | Nailed it |
| Hollywood Studios | 25.7 | 20.5 | -5.2 | Missed |
| Animal Kingdom | 31.8 | 28.9 | -2.9 | Close |
Overall MAE: 2.9 — the average absolute error across all four parks.
Spotlight: Hollywood Studios
Hollywood Studios was the biggest miss of the day. We predicted a WTI of 25.7, but the observed value came in at 20.5 — 5.2 points lighter than expected.
The error was distributed across multiple attractions, with no single ride dominating the miss.
Attraction-Level Breakdown
| Attraction | Predicted | Actual | Error | MAE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toy Story Mania! | 44 | 25 | -19.3 | 19.5 |
| Millennium Falcon | 34 | 18 | -15.9 | 15.9 |
| Rise of Resistance | 33 | 38 | +4.8 | 13.8 |
| Tower of Terror | 32 | 26 | -5.7 | 9.9 |
| Star Tours | 16 | 6 | -9.8 | 9.8 |
| Alien Saucers | 22 | 14 | -8.1 | 8.1 |
| Slinky Dog | 45 | 39 | -6.4 | 7.6 |
| Runaway Railway | 29 | 29 | -0.0 | 5.7 |
Detected Closures / Downtime at Hollywood Studios
These rides had gaps of 60+ minutes in posted wait times during operating hours, suggesting temporary closures or extended downtime:
- Rise of the Resistance Single — no data from 8:55 AM to 10:25 AM (90 min gap)
- Rise of Resistance — no data from 8:55 AM to 10:17 AM (82 min gap)
- Millennium Falcon Single Rider — no data from 5:00 PM to 6:15 PM (75 min gap)
- Runaway Railway — no data from 9:30 AM to 10:44 AM (74 min gap)
- Millennium Falcon — no data from 5:05 PM to 6:13 PM (68 min gap)
Get daily WTI forecasts for all 12 parks. Just type /today or /crowd in the Discord — free during beta.
📡 Data Sources — Our models are trained on data from TouringPlans, Queue-Times, and Thrill-Data. The models, techniques, and predictions are entirely our own.