WDW Daily Recap: Thursday, April 30
Solid day overall. Most parks tracked well, with one outlier pulling the average. Here's how our WTI predictions compared to what actually happened at Walt Disney World on Thursday, April 30.
Park-by-Park: Predicted vs. Observed WTI
| Park | Predicted | Observed | Delta | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Kingdom | 17.6 | 13.6 | -4.0 | Close |
| EPCOT | 20.3 | 18.6 | -1.7 | Nailed it |
| Hollywood Studios | 25.8 | 21.3 | -4.5 | Close |
| Animal Kingdom | 33.2 | 28.8 | -4.4 | Close |
Overall MAE: 3.6 — the average absolute error across all four parks.
Spotlight: Hollywood Studios
Hollywood Studios was the biggest miss of the day. We predicted a WTI of 25.8, but the observed value came in at 21.3 — 4.5 points lighter than expected.
The error was distributed across multiple attractions, with no single ride dominating the miss.
Attraction-Level Breakdown
| Attraction | Predicted | Actual | Error | MAE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toy Story Mania! | 44 | 25 | -19.2 | 19.4 |
| Millennium Falcon | 34 | 19 | -14.5 | 14.5 |
| Rise of Resistance | 32 | 35 | +2.3 | 10.5 |
| Star Tours | 14 | 6 | -8.6 | 8.6 |
| Alien Saucers | 24 | 17 | -6.7 | 8.6 |
| Slinky Dog | 46 | 40 | -6.5 | 7.1 |
| Runaway Railway | 28 | 25 | -3.2 | 6.9 |
| Tower of Terror | 31 | 29 | -2.4 | 6.8 |
Get daily WTI forecasts for all 12 parks. Just type /today or /crowd in the Discord — free during beta.
📡 Data Sources — Our models are trained on data from TouringPlans, Queue-Times, and Thrill-Data. The models, techniques, and predictions are entirely our own.